I have been
reviewing some of your literature on global warming and can only conclude that
you really haven’t properly addressed the real issues at all. There is a huge amount of focus on the
consequences for specific areas and the potential for slightly more
unpredictable weather patterns, albeit weather patterns have always been quite
unpredictable and will remain so whether or not global warming happens.
I think the key
point that is being missed and it actually IS very important is that a great
deal of the earth’s land lies in northern latitudes. Admittedly not nearly as much as it appears
from looking at your typical rectangular map where Mercator’s projection
significantly overstates the polar regions.
However any way you look at it Siberia is a large, often cold, and
sparsely populated area of land. It’s a
bit too flippant to observe that if the Greenland ice cap were to melt the new
land that would become available for possible habitation would be only
marginally smaller than the area of Greenland.
However the overall point that there will be huge areas that are net
beneficiaries of global warming simply doesn’t seem to be getting made. Humans seem to default into all change is bad
and fight it every inch of the way when the reality is that change is
inevitable and you must strive to embrace it. Another ice age would be very challenging for humanity and some people would need to move - however it's not at all clear that the current temperature of the planet is actually optimal for maximum human life.
Please
understand I fully accept that climate change is happening and will continue to
happen and it is largely caused by human activity. The issues you need to address are what rate
of change can you cope with and are your present structures suitable for that
change.
Let me answer
the second issue quickly and emphatically – NO.
Climate change is going to place further strain on certain
geographies. Your present structures of
countries and borders restricting the free movement of people around the world
is the real issue you need to be picking up and raising awareness of. The level of protectionism in the world
remains enormous and while there has been significant progress on racial
discrimination in the last century, the progress on national discrimination has
actually been fairly limited. Many
countries still have quite strong factions looking to curtail immigration and
protect what they have. There are some
pressure groups such as no-one is illegal that take the other side of the
argument – however the prevalent thinking still seems to be along the lines of
you weren’t born here – you have no right to live here unless you can give us a
lot of money or we think we need you.
This is a major issue that needs to be debated. Philosophically it looks very dubious as
nobody gets to choose where they are born.
However while
living standards across the world remain so variable there is obviously a very
valid concern that a fully open borders policy could lead to huge floods of
people and an overall decline in life expectancy and quality of life. The first step on the journey to open borders
is probably to commit to minimum global living standards everywhere. If that commitment were credible then many
people some would probably prefer to stay and help develop their local
communities rather than migrate far away from friends and families. While some groups could move and bring their friends and extended families with them, just as happened in
prior centuries. This is the debate you
need to be having if we are to progress to a better future quicker.
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